Psychic predicts 12 deaths in Tornado
[Future Technology]

Brian the psychic made another prediction. Unfortunately, circumstances are such that I cannot fully verify it. Brian had previously predicted an earthquake 2 days ahead of time. This time, he predicted an tornado. Unfortunately, I did not see this prediction until after the tornado had already occured. That is, I cannot say that I am a first-hand witness that he made the prediction before the tornado actually occured. Nonetheless, there is still an impressive aspect of the prediction. But first, let me give the exact wording of his prediction:

at 4:37 PM 12 people are going to die from a tornado in summer, tenn...will happen in 1 day, which would be today in about 6 hours from now.

Now I don't know when he made this prediction, but I personally first saw this prediction at April 7th, 2006, 8:50 PM (EST), after the tornado had already occured. Note though that Brian predicts 12 deaths. I went to Google News and did a search for "Tennesee Tornado", and then sorted the articles by date (as opposed to by relevance). There's news coverage on April 7th already about the tornado, so basically the tornado was reported the same day it happened. What's interesting is that all the news reports filed on April 7th report the death count as being either 2, 7, 8, 10 or 11 (the vast majority of them reporting 10 or 11). Probably the number was updated as more and more bodies were found.

If you read the most recent articles on the tornado though, you'll find that the count has been updated to twelve. I read the summary of every single article that Google News provied (that's approximately 1000 article summaries, took me something like 40 minutes), and from what I can tell, the first article to mention that the death count is 12 is this one. According to Google, that article was written approximately April 8th, 2006, noon. According to the article itself, it was written at 11:49AM.

So while I cannot vouch that Brian had predicted the tornado itself, I can vouch for the fact that he had predicted that the death count would be twelve, and he did so at least 15 hours in advance.

There are a few ways I could see Brian faking this: he could have an accomplice seek out bodies, and hide them, wait until he found out the death count was 11, and then predict 12, then allow the hidden body to be found. Or he could have bribed reuters (the origin of the article) and Google to lie about the publication date of the articles. Both seem very improbable, but how do you compare something which is improbable (e.g. bribing Google) against something "impossible" (e.g. being psychic)?

Again, I am impressed, but disappointed by the relatively short distance between the prediction time and the verification time (15 hours), and the low variance between information available at the time (11 deaths) versus informaiton predicted (12 deaths). This is good, but not as good as the earthquake prediction.

 
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